Public Finance

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At what price? The budgetary implications of fee free higher education

Much of the on-going debate around fee-free higher education has centred on its appropriateness and fairness for students, universities and colleges. The unavoidable and large budgetary trade-offs this policy creates – i.e. its effect on other government programmes and expenditures – has however received little attention. While the longer term costs and benefits of fee-free education are difficult to quantify, we look at the large short term adjustments that were necessary in government’s 2018/19 budget. The data shows that significant budget cuts have already been necessary across government, many of which are likely to impact on the lives of the poor and / or the growth potential of the economy.

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Have changes to transfer duty rates impacted on home ownership?

Home ownership is a goal that most citizens strive for. However, the currently constrained economic environment means that most South Africans will have to wait to own a home. The government can play a role in facilitating this endeavor through a range of fiscal and monetary policy tools. For example, recent amendments to the rate of transfer duties on residential properties may impact on the ability to purchase/finance a home. The evidence, to date, is not particularly promising.

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Taxes and democracy

While the annual admin of filing tax returns is deadly dull, the theory of taxation itself has some interesting side avenues. Its worth exploring these, given the current policy debate around radical economic transformation, and the appealing simplicity of the arguments that we should tax the rich more to transfer wealth to the poor. International and local experience suggests that it is unlikely to be that simple.

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What is fair SACU customs compensation to the BLNS?

There has been slow progress in SACU negotiations, with possible changes to the revenue sharing formula a sticking point. In this context, the “fairness” of the current formula used to distribute SACU’s customs collections is examined. The brief, high level, analysis suggests that the compensation the BLNS receive for loss of tariff policy independence is much larger than what could be considered “fair”. Acceding to this argument may be in the BLNS’ best interest if they wish to have greater influence in SACU’s trade and industrial policy in future.

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Higher education: getting our priorities right

A worrying narrative that has emerged from the on-going student protests is that you are either in favour of free higher education for all; or against it. In fact there are a wide range of options in between available, and these options should be weighed against the country’s other priorities. We look at some of the most important government policy objectives within post-school education, and highlight the tremendous financial costs associated with meeting these goals. Against this background, it is clear that what is required is a transparent discussion of the way forward within post-school education. While fee free education for all is a noble goal when viewed in isolation, implementing it is likely to severely constrain the country’s ability to achieve many other important objectives. Attempting to achieve free higher education for all before it has been achieved for the poor and the lower middle class, and before some of the severe financial and other challenges in vocational training system have been addressed; risks undermining the country’s educational and economic progress and even denying education and training opportunities to those who might need them the most.

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How much do state owned enterprises really cost us?

South Africa has opted to retain state control over a large number of companies which, in many other parts of the world, have been privatised. While state intervention can have an important role to play, for example in sectors where provision of services is important, but difficult to sustain on a commercial basis, there are often ways to achieve these objectives without resorting to state ownership of the organisation delivering the good or service. This obsession with state control has exacted a measurable cost to our economy.

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Behavioural economics and the South African carbon tax

The Draft Carbon Tax Bill released towards the end of last year outlined the design of a carbon tax to be implemented in 2017. Rather than a low and escalating carbon tax, as is often recommended in carbon tax literature, the Treasury proposed a complicated carbon tax structure with a headline carbon tax rate of R120/tCO2e and a number of discounts that significantly reduce the effective tax rate. Insights from the field of behavioural economics, however, suggest that there may be method to the Treasury’s seeming administrative madness.

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what FIFA has shown us about decentralised democratic systems

The global soccer fraternity was shaken in 2015 when the US Department of Justice (DOJ) decided to charge and arrest high ranking FIFA executives for “rampant, systemic, and deep-rooted” corruption. Where the FIFA saga becomes more disturbing is that the electoral system and its concomitant outcomes may in certain circumstances be not too dissimilar to national electoral systems and their outcomes, particularly in a decentralised democracy such as our own. Funds transferred from national government that are meant for economic development can become particularly fungible when expenditure decisions and accountability are similarly decentralised.

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Proposed SA carbon tax: international context

On 2 November 2015 the National Treasury released the Draft Carbon Tax Bill for public comment. Comment is due by 15 December. This is the first in a series of blogs to be published by DNA Economics related to the proposed carbon tax, and focuses on the level of the carbon tax in relation to existing carbon pricing schemes internationally.

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A basic income grant as the solution to South Africa’s social security crisis

South Africa’s social security system is designed to assist those “impeded from entering the labour market”. Despite the Constitution’s stipulation of everyone ‘having the right to access social security’, a large portion of the population are not eligible for any social assistance at all. Considering South Africa’s history and its alarmingly high levels of unemployment, it is unsurprising that critics of the system have argued that changes need to be made. The current social security net is too ‘loosely woven’ and too many people who are in need of social assistance end up falling through the gaps. A possible solution? A Basic Income Grant for all citizens!

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