What impact do import tariffs have on the domestic market? The South African poultry experience

Linton Reddy (4 Min Read)

How import tariffs affect supply and demand

An import tariff is simply a tax placed on imported (foreign) goods, with the explicit aim of giving a price advantage to domestically produced goods. The implicit expectation is that by making imported goods more expensive, consumers will shift demand away from foreign products towards domestically produced ones. In this case poultry is produced in South Africa but is also imported from various international suppliers. From the perspective of domestic producers, the import tariff alters the competitive landscape in their favor. By making foreign goods more expensive, the tariff allows domestic suppliers to be more price competitive in the market – increasing overall domestic supply.

To illustrate the effect of an import tariff on the South African poultry market, the following prices and tariffs are used [1].

 

 

 

Prior to the tariff, domestic consumers are willing and able to purchase more chicken at the lower world price (Pw) of R14 per kg. Local producers (in aggregate), however, are only able to competitively produce small volumes of chicken at this price (S1). This results in excess demand in the local market, which is filled by imports. Under the no tariff scenario consumers benefit due to the price constraint imposed by imports on domestic prices.

In order to increase local production, the South African government imposes a tariff of 62% per kg. The effect of this is illustrated in Figure 1 The import price increases to approximately R23 per kg[6] (Pw+t), which is just below the price at which domestic producers would be able to meet all domestic demand. Producers respond by raising their own prices to match the more lucrative price of imports, while also increasing production from S1 to S2. Imports subsequently fall from D1 to D2 as they are substituted by locally produced goods.

So, what does this mean for the domestic economy?

The effects of the import tariff on the domestic economy can be both positive and negative. To illustrate the respective losses and gains of such an import tariff, quantities have been assigned to the supply and demand curves, with S1= 500, S2 = 750, D1 = 1000 and D2 = 1500, tons, respectively[7] .

With the import tariff consumers pay higher overall prices (and also consume less) when compared to the no-tariff scenario[8] . This consumer loss is represented by areas a+b+c+d in Figure 1 and is equal to R11250[9] .

For local producers, the import tariff raises the price of imports in the domestic market. At the new higher price, local producers increase the quantity supplied. The import tariff therefore enables producers to sell at much higher prices than would be possible under the no tariff scenario. This gain to producers is represented by area a in Figure 1[10] , and is equal to R5 625 under this scenario[11] .

For Government, the increase in the tariff implies that for every unit imported government obtains revenue equal to the number of imported units multiplied by the tariff. This is represented by area c in Figure 1 and is equal to R2 250[12] . 

Areas b and d in Figure 1 represent the efficiency loss brought about by the tariff. The higher prices leads consumers to “under consume” and domestic producers to oversupply. These supply and demand imbalances lead to a sub-optimal use of resources (in this case, our desired consumption of chicken), which results in a so-called “deadweight loss” to society of R3 375[13]

Whilst the use of tariffs, in the short run, may support and protect industries, this protection is achieved mainly at the expense of consumers. Moreover, the use of tariffs can also impose a longer-term cost to society, as shown by the deadweight loss. Arguably this presents an opportunity for the use of other interventions, which could bring about similar benefits, with overall lower implicit costs. This could include, for example, incentives for training and R&D activities in the poultry sector, as well as interventions targeted at improving production efficiencies.


[1] South African Revenue Service (SARS) trade data as well as SARS customs and excise tariffs for the period 2019 were used to determine an average import and domestic price. To further simplify the analysis, the focus is only on chicken leg quarters. These chicken pieces are a key contributor to South Africa’s total basket of chicken related imports, accounting for 38% of total value, and 30% of total volumes for the 2019 period.

[2] Average world price was used as a proxy for import prices.

[3] Average export price was used as a proxy for domestic prices.

[4] SARS Customs and Excise Tariff

[5] Krugman, P.R., Obstfeld, M and Melitz M, International Economics: Theory and Policy (2012), 10th Edition

[6] Calculation as follows; R14*1.62= R23

[7] The analysis assumes domestic and imported products are homogenous and perfectly substitutable with each other.

[8] Consumer surplus (loss) is a measurement of welfare and measures the difference between what consumers are willing and able to pay and what they actually pay. If consumers pay less for the good than they value it, then consumers have earned a surplus, whereas when consumers pay more for the product than they value it, consumers earn a consumer loss.

[9] Area a+b+c+d = [(Pw+t -Pw) (D2-0)] + [½ (Pw+t -Pw) (D2-D1)].

[10] Producer surplus(loss) is a measure of welfare and measures the difference between what producers are willing and able to charge and actually charge. If producers are able to charge more for a good than they value it, then producers have earned a surplus, whereas when producers charge less for a good than they value it, producers incur a producer loss.

[11] Area a = [(Pw+t -Pw) (S2-0)]- [½ (Pw+t -Pw) (S2-S1)]

[12] Area c = [(Pw+t – Pw) (D2- S2)]

[13] Areas b +d = [1/2(Pw+t -Pw) (S2 -S1)] + [1/2(Pw+t -Pw) (D1-D2)]